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PJM Interconnection LLC
CMS Federal Register
Preqin Private Credit Index
Palletwise Q3 Earnings Call
US Treasury Daily Yield Curve
Delaware Chancery Docket
Kestrel Capital LP Letter
ERCOT Market Notices
31 signals
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Moves the thesis
Public Equities
PJM Interconnection LLC
PJM interconnection queue reform draft published
Two of your three tracked queue positions move ahead by an estimated 9 months under the draft rules. This is a falsifier on your Northstar thesis — flagged, not resolved.
Just now
Moves a deal
Healthcare Services
CMS Federal Register
Reimbursement schedule for outpatient cardiology finalised
Rates land 40bps above the proposed schedule. Two of five subsectors in your succession pipeline regain the margin case.
Just now
Moves the book
Private Credit
Preqin Private Credit Index
Direct lending spreads tightened 55bps in two weeks
Your private credit sleeve target of 8% was set at wider spreads. Conclave flagged a re-run.
19 hr ago
Context
Private Markets
Palletwise Q3 Earnings Call
Palletwise raised at $310M post
Your closest logistics comparable re-priced 4.8× above your archived entry. EZVC scores for the sector adjusted.
Yesterday
Moves the book
Rates & Macro
US Treasury Daily Yield Curve
5-year real yield crossed 2.1%
Your threshold for revisiting duration. Northfield SMA sizing recomputed.
2 days ago
Moves the thesis
Healthcare Services
Delaware Chancery Docket
Delaware Chancery issues preliminary non-compete ruling
Preliminary ruling narrows enforceability of physician non-competes acquired via roll-up. Directly touches the succession model's defensibility assumption.
6 days ago
Moves a deal
Private Markets
Kestrel Capital LP Letter
Kestrel Capital gives 21 days' notice on Fund IV hard close
Short notice window raises capacity risk on three co-investment rights we hold alongside Kestrel.
Last week
Moves a deal
Public Equities
ERCOT Market Notices
ERCOT PUCT filing proposes capacity price signal +22%
Meaningful redesign of the capacity mechanism improves near-term economics for two Texas queue positions.
2 weeks ago
Moves the thesis
Industrial Services
PitchBook Data
State licensing dataset shows owner-operator entries fell to 34/yr
Third consecutive quarterly refresh below the 40/yr threshold. Structural, not seasonal — thesis review scheduled.
3 weeks ago
Context
Rates & Macro
US Treasury Daily Yield Curve
2s10s spread widens 9bps on soft jobs report
Below the (disabled) curve threshold — logged as context for reinvestment timing only.
3 weeks ago
Context
Private Credit
Kestrel Capital LP Letter
Harbor Lending Fund II gives 60 days' notice on close
Comfortable notice window — logged for context, does not require action.
4 weeks ago
Context
Private Markets
SEC EDGAR Form D
Loadbay Systems raises small bridge, 1.4× step-up
Below the comparable-raise threshold — no scoring adjustment triggered.
5 weeks ago
Context
Industrial Services
Reuters Markets
Gulf Coast diesel spot rises 6% on refinery outage
Below the (disabled) fuel-spike threshold; logged for the industrial services cost model.
6 weeks ago
Context
Public Equities
Utility Dive
PJM publishes stakeholder comment summary on queue reform
Early procedural step; below threshold, but the first sign the reform effort in sig-01 was building.
7 weeks ago
Context
Healthcare Services
Modern Healthcare
Vantage Medical Group opens two de novo outpatient sites
Operational update from portfolio company — no threshold attached, logged for context.
8 weeks ago
Context
Private Credit
Preqin Private Credit Index
Direct lending spreads tick down 8bps, within normal range
Small monthly move; well inside the 50bps/30-day threshold.
9 weeks ago
Context
Private Markets
SEC EDGAR Form D
Loadbay Systems files Form D for $9M bridge
Same round noted in sig-12, first regulatory trace of the raise.
11 weeks ago
Context
Rates & Macro
US Treasury Daily Yield Curve
5-year real yield eases to 1.88% on cooler CPI
Retreated from the crossing level noted three months ago; duration sizing held.
11 weeks ago
Moves a deal
Healthcare Services
CMS Federal Register
CMS finalizes CY26 OPPS rule
The rate print that anchors this year's baseline for the succession pipeline margin case.
17 weeks ago
Context
Public Equities
ERCOT Market Notices
ERCOT files reserve margin study
Precursor filing to the capacity design change flagged in sig-08.
20 weeks ago
Context
Public Equities
PJM Interconnection LLC
PJM cluster study update shows modest 2-month acceleration
Below the 3-month threshold at the time, but the trendline that preceded the sig-01 draft.
21 weeks ago
Context
Private Markets
PitchBook Data
Palletwise closes Series C at 2.6× step-up
Prior comparable raise, below the 2x threshold at the margin — logged for the archive.
27 weeks ago
Context
Rates & Macro
US Treasury Daily Yield Curve
5-year real yield falls to 1.71%, year low
Well below the crossing threshold — no action, logged as trend context.
29 weeks ago
Moves the book
Private Credit
Preqin Private Credit Index
Direct lending spreads widen 61bps as bank lending tightens
Prior spread-widening event, cleared the 50bps threshold in the opposite direction.
14 weeks ago
Context
Private Credit
SEC EDGAR Form D
Harbor Lending Fund II opens for LP commitments
First mention of the vehicle later referenced in sig-11.
31 weeks ago
Context
Public Equities
ERCOT Market Notices
ERCOT market notice: capacity signal unchanged
Routine notice, no design change — below threshold.
36 weeks ago
Moves the thesis
Public Equities
FERC eLibrary
PJM files interim reform proposal with FERC
Earlier procedural filing on the path to the draft reform in sig-01 — cleared threshold, treated as the opening flag.
37 weeks ago
Context
Industrial Services
PitchBook Data
State licensing dataset shows 52 owner-operator entries
Baseline reading, two years back — the level the thesis was originally underwritten against.
41 weeks ago
Context
Private Credit
Preqin Private Credit Index
Direct lending spreads widen 15bps, in line with seasonality
Small move, below threshold.
43 weeks ago
Context
Public Equities
Bloomberg Wire
PJM queue tracked entities added to watchlist
Portfolio construction note: original three queue positions added to Pulse coverage.
49 weeks ago
Context
Private Markets
SEC EDGAR Form D
Loadbay Systems raises seed extension at 1.1×
Earliest tracked comparable raise for the logistics sector, well below threshold.
57 weeks ago